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Friday, August 31, 2007
posted by Timotheus | 11:43 PM | permalink
So, the Dems have gotten into some trouble for lining their pockets with money from a guy who is a fugitive and wanted in a fraud case. So, they have decided to give the money to charity instead of using it in their campaigns. Sorry, but did anyone ever think that maybe some of this money was from his Ponzi scheme? What about the poor victims who he defrauded? Why don't they give the money back to the victims of his crimes for goodness sake?
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2 Comments:


I hate to sound like the Devil's advocate on this one, but a lot of times victims of Ponzi Schemes deserve their pain for their own stupidity. People who think that they can make something for nothing get what they deserve when they find out that it doesn't quite work that way. Giving to charity isn't such a bad idea.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at September 3, 2007 5:45 PM  


Unfortunately, these fraud cases don't always look like you are trying to get something for nothing. That is the nature of the misrepresentation. They often involve eler abuse as well. I don't know the facts of his case, but I would bet money (something for doing nothing) on some of the people being in a vulnerable position. The law should protect those people from those who would scam them. Victim's of crime deserve restitution. We would take this money away from Mr. Hsu's lawyers, why not take it away from the Clintons?




posted by Justin Hart | 6:24 PM | permalink
Over at the Five Brothers Blog Tagg (Romney's eldest son) closes out August with a look back at the journey that Romney and crew have taken over the last 8 months (I've addd in links for some of the events if you want the details):
... I was recently chatting with a blogger from the Politico and we talked about each of the milestones that my Dad the candidate has hit since entering the race in January. It's remarkable really, and we have met or exceeded each goal we have set along the way. When he entered, few thought he had a good chance at winning. Then he raised $6.5M in one day in January. He won the CPAC straw poll in DC in February. In March, we won the first quarter "money primary" by raising $21M. In April, we won 10 and came in 2nd in 6 of the 17 total county straw polls in South Carolina. In May, the Gov clearly won the first GOP debate at the Reagan Library as well as the second debate in South Carolina. He also appeared in 60 Minutes, Jay Leno, and the cover of Time Magazine. And the campaign team signed up 30,000 new supporters in only 24 hours during Sign Up America!. In June, we scored another victory in the NH debate, Rudy and McCain both surrender by stating they won't attend the Ames Straw Poll, and my Dad jumps to first place in the polls in both Iowa and New Hampshire. Oh and we raised another $14M, keeping us in first place in total primary dollars raised on the GOP side. In July we launched the Mitt Mobile (and had Gretta do a segment on 3 of the 5 brothers), and hosted a huge 600 person fundraiser at Fenway Park and the Boston Garden (America's Calling). In August, Dad had another fantastic debate performance in Iowa (one of his strongest, I think), Josh visited his 99th county in Iowa, and then Dad went on to win the Ames Iowa Straw Poll, as well as many other straw polls around the country (e.g. state fairs in Iowa, Illinois, and other states).

Whether it's the new -- creative fundraising methods and Internet contests -- or the old -- phone banks and bus captains -- my Dad and his campaign have shown how the innovation, hard work, and problem solving skills he is famous for apply in a presidential campaign. He has hosted over 70 Ask Mitt Anything Town Halls totally open to the press and the public, made hundreds and hundreds of campaign stops all across the country, and put hundreds of speech clips up for viewing on Mitt TV. He's added to an impressive list of endorsers. He's unveiled detailed policy plans on dozens of topics including stopping a nuclear Iran, health care, immigration reform, protecting our children from pornography, tax reform, and other policies designed to keep America's families, military, and economy strong. As a result, I think he has become an even stronger campaigner and speaker than he was already. Who knows what the future holds, but I'm confident that the next month will be just as good and probably better than the last one.

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1 Comments:


It has been great to have the Five Brothers Blog to share the journey with them.




posted by Timotheus | 6:18 PM | permalink
Somehow I missed this Kentucky straw poll victory for Romney.

Serves me right for not reading Evangelicals for Mitt every day like I should.
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3 Comments:


The e-mail link on MMM isn't working, so I'll ask my question here. On August 24-26, twelve midwestern states convened in Indianapolis, Indiana for the Midwest Republican Leadership Conference. Mitt, Fred, and Huck were the three presidential candidates that spoke. However, I have not been able to find their speeches or how the event went. Do you have any information on it?

By Anonymous Bryton Hiatt, at August 31, 2007 9:41 PM  


The conference was covered by many local outlets: http://news.search.yahoo.com/search/news?ei=UTF-8&toggle=1&fr=yfp-t-501&cop=mss&p=mitt%20romney%20midwest%20republican%20leadership%20conference and NPR did a bit: http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=13961290&ft=1&f=1001

I will tell the man behind the curtain to fix the email link.



Lets try that again:

Find several stories covering the event here.
NPR covered it here.




posted by Timotheus | 6:03 PM | permalink
I don't claim to understand the inner working of the FEC, but it seems that the complaint that Thompson was breaking fund raising rules by claiming to be testing the waters when he was really running a campaign has legitimacy. Otherwise, why was he accepting contributions for the general election? I am not in favor of all of the rules, but I am in favor of disclosure, and that is what Thompson was apparently skirting. If the FEC should slap down Thompson over this issue, I think it would be a big blow to their campaign's struggling efforts.
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1 Comments:


Fred Thompson of McCain/Feingold/Thompson breaking campaign finance laws?
Wow, the press should have a field day with that if it comes to pass.




posted by Timotheus | 5:07 PM | permalink
If Michigan moves up their primary, as is almost certain at this point, Romney stands to be in a very good position. New numbers from Michigan today:

Romney 25%
Giuliani 23%
Thompson 16%
McCain 15%

While the numbers coming out of Michigan have seemed a bit volatile (check out some polling history at UltiMitt), Romney has consistently polled well. With family history and the obvious propsect of having a Presidential Library for Romney in Michigan one day, I think they may very well pull the trigger for him on primary day, or caucus day, whatever it will be.

With states bouncing all over the place with their schedules, the compressed calendar is starting to look more like the extended calendar of years past leading up to Super Tuesday. Suddenly, the Super Tuesday strategy of Giuliani, and potentially of Thompson, is looking like a bad idea (I say potentially of Thompson because his delay seemed to indicate he just wanted to ride whatever national name recognition he has for as long as possible, but he seems to be turning his attention on early states now since he doesn't really have the ability to run a national campaign).

Romney effectively took McCain and Giuliani's decision not to compete in the Iowa straw poll and shoved it down their throats, maximizing his exposure there and solidifying his support. He now stands in a great position to win states like Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, Wyoming, and Michigan, and is in a good position to win Florida, South Carolina and others along the way.
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2 Comments:


How could anybody get into the race now and compete in all the early state races?
Don't you at least need a campaign office in each state?



I think he may have no choice. If you can only make a couple of appearances a day and with limited time, what state would you show up to?




Thursday, August 30, 2007
posted by Timotheus | 10:49 PM | permalink
Michigan stepped one step closer today to a January 15, 2008 primary (or caucus) date. All of this even though the DNC sanctioned Florida for moving their primary up. It looks like the DNC is going to have a hard time controlling state democrats on this issue (I love the lack of discipline).
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2 Comments:


Why do you love the lack of discipline?

I think it is out of control.

I think the best plan would be to have dates which the primaries must be held between.

Have a sliding date scale starting with the states with the fewest electoral college members and work your way up.

This would have to be set up by the Federal Republicans and Democrats. Are there constitutional issues here? My guess is no if the Democrates can ignore Florida's delegates.

By Anonymous Anonymous, at August 31, 2007 9:48 AM  


I think your sliding date scale idea is sort of interesting. It would obviously benefit the smaller states. It may tend to produce candidates who would be slightly tilted toward small state interests but a lot of people think the current system pretty much does the same thing.

If it created more of a bent, that would mean candidates who are outside of the mainstream may be favored. It would be the reverse of a system that was a "national primary" and that resulted in candidates more aligned with a big city perspective and at odds with the folks in the rural parts.

I like the lack of discipline simply because it is amusing to me that the national party told the state no and they rebelled.

I also like the lack of discipline because it seems to me that perhaps the efforts of the national party to control the nomination process should be rebuffed, otherwise, they may be too influential on the process.

Past experience has shown that states don't necessarily get much bang for their buck by moving up early. States have moved up and then back. There seems to be limits to the value of moving up earlier.




posted by Kyle | 9:36 PM | permalink
First, new numbers from IA (via Jonathan Martin)
Mitt Romney: 35
Rudy Giuliani: 12
Fred Thompson: 11
Mike Huckabee: 11
Tom Tancredo: 9
John McCain: 7
Undecided: 10
Beyond Romney's lead, it's interesting to note McCain has been passed by even Tancredo.


Second, apparently Fred is in (or will be on Sept. 6), but waiting just long enough to avoid debating (Sept. 5). I’m sure we’ll have more about this in the near future.


Third, an Iowa judge has decided that marriage cannot be denied to same-sex couples. Mitt’s response:


The ruling in Iowa today is another example of an activist court and unelected judges trying to redefine marriage and disregard the will of the people as expressed through Iowa's Defense of Marriage Act. This once again highlights the need for a Federal Marriage Amendment to protect the traditional definition of marriage as between one man and one woman.
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2 Comments:


Interesting that Mitt has higher numbers than the next 3 guys, AND his lead itself is bigger then the next 2 guys.

By Anonymous General Lee, at August 30, 2007 9:59 PM  


And another reason for Mitt over Rudy and Fred. I have never been a single issue voter, but each day that passes I am more and more persuaded that we need a moral leader in the White House standing boldly against the wave of corruption, immorality, and the redefining of traditions.

The American Republic is at a crossroads. We can turn to bold, new leadership who will work to revitalize, reform, and even re-found the greatness of the country, or we can sit back and watch as the res publica corrodes around us.




posted by Timotheus | 12:21 PM | permalink
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6 Comments:


I like it more everytime I see it.

By Anonymous GeorgiaMom, at August 30, 2007 12:52 PM  


That is a great ad.



Sure makes a contrast between Romney and other people jumping in.



Timotheus -- "Jumping" might be too strong a word.



Okay, well it is a bit more like my kid and the pool when it is a little too cold and it takes about 15 minutes to slowly coax them into the water.

The "jumping" relates to an act of reasonableness suicide wherein one is convinced by a few fervent people that despite political liabilities, a lackluster career, and serious issues of electability, the inevitable direction has been charted even if it is over the cliff.



Very impressive. It makes him look more like a real person, not just some politician who let's his advertising committee come up with something. He's sweating! and he even looks good in shorts.




posted by Kyle | 11:10 AM | permalink
I think Rich Lowry has the right idea:
Once he's over the momentary embarrassment of his association with Craig, Romney is probably helped by this scandal at the margins. When a party is reeling from scandal after scandal—some of them involving gross sexual misconduct and adultery—the wholesome guy who is loyal to his wife and family is going to look more appealing.
The problem with nominating someone like Giuliani (and to a lesser extent McCain and Thompson) is that it looks like more of the same Washington scandal class (rightly or wrongly). Giuliani’s past just begs for people to draw the easy association to Congressional deviants who are unable to keep their personal conduct under control. McCain and Thompson’s multiple marriages also invite such comparisons, although to a lesser extent than Giuliani. Giuliani’s cries to the press to leave his personal life alone invite more scrutiny from a press who loves to unearth a cover-up, not to mention how precisely they echo a former president’s similar pleas.

Let me make clear that I don’t have any knowledge of personal misdeeds of these men. However, as some candidates have made the “electability” argument against Romney for “flip-flopping”, they miss the beam in their own “electability” eye. If Romney is easily attacked in the general election for insincerity, these men are ripe for attack for scandal. And scandal will be fresher in voters’ minds given its continued permeation in Washington culture.
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4 Comments:


McCain and Fred may not be squeaky clean like Romney, but they are a far far cry from the moral depravity that surrounded Giuliani's personal conduct in office. This guy's skeleton closets have closets. It's a major liability going into a general election where "those corrupt Republicans" is likely to be a prevalent theme.



Great point Devon. I had been thinking only of Romney's shining example. People should also consider how another scandal will increase our dislike for the scandalous Rudy. As this is a two man race, Rudy going down = Romney going up.



Too bad. I still think Romney is the man and Craig well he is either a sick person or just a little stupid for not fighting back on the issue. MR08!



Am I the only one who thought it was slightly suspect that McCain was one of the first people to say that Senator Craig should have resigned?

McCain, by many accounts, has been known as a vengeful and vindictive person. It just seems a bit odd that McCain is running for President, and Larry Craig was the Senate Co-Chair of a different candidate's Presidential campaign. Since Craig wasn't supporting McCain, don't you think that it's a bit of a strange coincidence that McCain would go after the person who was helping lead the charge for one of his Presidential rivals?

By Anonymous Anonymous, at September 3, 2007 5:53 PM  



Wednesday, August 29, 2007
posted by jason | 8:52 PM | permalink
Whoops! Wrong candidate...


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1 Comments:


Har! Good one.

By Anonymous GeorgiaMom, at August 30, 2007 7:41 AM  



posted by Timotheus | 6:59 PM | permalink
Romney is looking good in the Rasmussen numbers the past few days.

Giuliani 24%
Thompson 21%
Romney 17%
McCain 10%

For some unknown reason, Rasmussen doesn't seem to realize that Romney had an uptick after the Iowa straw poll. I watched their numbers every day afterward and he consistently polled ahead of McCain following the straw poll and consistently polled 2-3 points ahead of where he was. Now, 17% may or may not be an anomoly, but I have never seen Romney that high in any national poll, and the fact that it was 16% yesterday shows it wasn't a complete fluke. This is clearly good news for Romney.

Those skeptics that point to national numbers are quickly losing their footing.
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3 Comments:


Where do I get my "Rudy favors Abortion" bumper stickers?
.
If the Republican voting base knew his stances his numbers would be below McCain's.
.
Poll after poll shows people who respond to these queries have no idea about Rudy's stances.

By Anonymous GeorgiaMom, at August 29, 2007 8:33 PM  


Does Rasmussen LOOK at Rasmussen's poll numbers. I ain't no rocket surgeon [:`)] and even I can see the uptick in Romney's numbers.

By Anonymous GeorgiaMom, at August 29, 2007 10:18 PM  


Just wait! The next 2 months will be absolutely crucial in terms of the conservative wing of the GOP getting to know RG social stances. They are just starting to pay attention, and the way RG is campaigning, he is not doing enough to pre-empt the effects of the upcoming exposure.




posted by Kyle | 6:06 PM | permalink
OK, this time I really am talking about this surge of support. One part of showing our support for the troops is recognizing the good things they are doing and the good that is happening because of their efforts.

The dominant theme being bandied about, even as the military situation continues to improve, is that there haven't been sufficient political improvements in Iraq. Then come these two remarkable developments. First, an accord between the different factions of the Iraqi government was reached. Second, Moqtada al- Sadr's Mahdi Army has suspended activity.

Now I realize that these are not conclusive or determinative steps in realizing a sucessful outcome in Iraq, but it's hard to argue that an accord like this and the suspension of activity by the main culprit in sectarian violence are not significantly positive steps. As I said before, part of showing a surge of support for our troops, as Mitt Romney alone has called for, is to give credit where credit is due. The continued efforts of our military have made these improvements in the Iraqi political situation possible. Thank you, soldiers.

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