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 Saturday, January 12, 2008
Romney over McCain. Very close, lots depends on undecideds and whether independents (or Dems) vote in the Republican primary. Detroit Free Press:
More breakdown by issue in the story. Updated RCP average here. It's very tight. UPDATE: RCP with more new polls. In the Michigan Mitchell poll, Romney cuts into McCain's support. yeah! UPDATE: More good news, another poll with an EIGHT POINT Romney lead (despite the badmouthing) : Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who badly needs to win Tuesday's Michgian primary, has an eight-point lead over Sen. John McCain of Arizona in a McClatchy-MSNBC poll of Michigan voters to be released Sunday.I'm cautiously optimistic. (And anyway, we haven't hit a really Red State yet.) More detail: McClatchy Newspapers reported: “Romney led McCain by 2 to 1 among voters who ranked the economy and jobs their top concern. He led Huckabee by a slightly greater margin among those voters. He also led McCain by 2 to 1 among likely voters who called themselves Republicans.”The Detroit News has McCain edging Mitt by one point, with 45% undecided. Hillary can forget about opposition research back to Mitt's childhood--his first grade teacher is a fan. Breitbart:
The Republican presidential contender ran into his first-grade teacher—78-year-old Gloria Blazo of Novi—as he was shaking hands Saturday following a speech to the conservative Americans For Prosperity summit here. The latest Rasmussen numbers coming out of Michigan:
Mitt Romney 26% John McCain 25% Mike Huckabee 17% Fred Thompson 9% Ron Paul 8% Rudy Giuliani 6% The big problem, of course, is that no one has any idea how many independents and democrats will vote in the Republican Primary. Nor, for that matter, how they will vote. Thanks to Jeff Fuller for the link. Romney overwhelmingly wins Ottawa County, MI straw poll:
Ottawa County is generally considered one of the most Republican counties in the state. Labels: Michigan The CNN New Hampshire exit polling confirms that those with the liberal mindset were the ones responsible for vaulting John McCain to win there and thereby granting him somewhat of a "front-runner" status.
Numbers don't lie (and remember, these are just the numbers from the voters in the GOP NH primary): 52% think that Abortion should be "legal" 53% go to church "never" or "a few times a year" 49% have a negative opinion of Bush 57% do not "strongly oppose" civil unions 50% support a "path to citizenship" or a "guest worker program" for illegals already here. 39% of them are not Republicans Only 21% say they're "very conservative" (BTW, Romney beat McCain 43% to 18% among them). 45% admit to being moderates or liberals. Finally, 50% made their decision within the last week (with a full 19% admitting to deciding on the day of the primary). So they're not just liberals . . . they're fickle liberals. Thanks for nothing New Hampshire. Jeff Fuller Head of Christian Home-School Entity Endorses Romney — Says Huckabee Imposed Restrictions on Home-Schoolers in Arkansas[snip]Smith writes that Huckabee “says he supports home-schoolers and that they should be left alone, yet he signed into law a bill that imposed new restrictions on homeschoolers in AR.” Friday, January 11, 2008
Good to see the newspaper endorsements used so quickly. Following up on Kyle's previous post. The RCP Blog, in their first roundup of stories of the day, reports that Mitt got a good headline out of last night's debate in the Detroit Free Press, "Romney Pledges to Fight for Michigan Jobs During Debate". Looks like the unpopularity of Dem governor Jennifer Granholm may help Republicans who have a strong economic message and track record--Mitt is the best on that.
UPDATE: More debate reaction. Gateway Pundit. Likes Romney, makes good points on McCain and Huck (that support Mitt). Hugh Hewitt. John Nevin penned an op/ed for the Detroit Free Press yesterday. In that op/ed he argued that Mitt Romney is the best candidate for the Michigan and the Great Lakes:
Mitt Romney grew up in that tradition and has a firsthand appreciation of how important the Great Lakes are to Michigan's high quality of life. Romney knows that Michigan's ecology and economy depend on healthy Great Lakes and clean water that is safe for drinking, beaches that are safe for swimming, and fish that are safe for eating. We go ahold of Mr. Nevin and asked him a few follow-up questions. MMM: What part of Michigan are you from? JN: I am from Holt, a suburb of Lansing, right near Michigan State University. MMM: What is your occupation? JN: I am a policy adviser to a binational group that provides advice to governments regarding water quality and water quantity issues. Previously, I wrote speeches and provided communications advice to Governor John Engler for 12 years. MMM: How would you describe your political leanings? JN: My political leanings are definitely conservative but with a pragmatic, common sense approach that emphasizes results more than ideology. I am strongly pro-life and wouldn’t support a candidate who wasn’t. MMM: Why endorse Mitt Romney? JN: I’ve endorsed Mitt Romney for many reasons. He’s an experienced executive with a track record of success who understands how to manage change and to transform complex organizations. Second, just looking at his family, you know right away that he is an incredibly strong and compassionate leader. He doesn’t need the presidency. The presidency needs him. MMM: You say in your Op/Ed that Mitt Romney will be best for Michigan and the Great Lakes. Why? JN: Mitt would be best for the Great Lakes because I know he wouldn’t tolerate the lack of responsibility and accountability for current programs. He’s the only candidate who would have the ability to slash the bureaucracy, reorganize and focus on the key threats to the lakes. The bottom line is that Mitt is all about results and that’s the kind of leadership we need. And of course, it helps that he is from Michigan and has a true understanding and appreciation for how important the lakes are to our state, our economy and our culture. Labels: Michigan
NBC's Chuck Todd: "Mitt Romney's last answer about what he's been hearing on the campaign trail was one of his best messages I've heard yet." - link
Townhall's Mary Katharine Ham: "Mitt had a good line about Paul reading Ahmadinejad press releases." - link National Review's Kathryn Jean Lopez: "Taking Washington apart. This is a strong outsider argument - that rings true. Romney would do it because he has." - link ABC's Rick Klein: "Ahh, the R-word. 'Could we be headed for a recession? Absolutely. Do we have to be headed for a recession? Absolutely not.' Good answer by Mitt Romney." - link National Review's Rich Lowry: "Mitt's change answer. Good. The best part of his stump speech." - link Townhall's Hugh Hewitt: "Romney had less screen time tonight, but each time he answered he was poised and eloquent." - link O'Beirne: "Mitt Romney's optimism recalls Reagan." The American Spectator's Quin Hillyer: "Now Romney gets a tough question on abortion. He starts out with a really really strong answer. Now he segues back to Reagan. He ably defends 'the principles that Ronald Reagan espoused.' Good answer." Labels: candidate debate Thursday, January 10, 2008
... about the Fox News debate tonight (at 9:00 PM Eastern). Get all your friends to watch Romney win the debate. It will be on TV and online.
Go Romney! Labels: candidate debate Hey Folks,
I am headed for Michigan tomorrow night after work. On Saturday I will be attending the Americans for Prosperity meeting in Livonia Michigan, where I will be live blogging it. This will feature Governor Romney, Sen. McCain, Rep. Duncan Hunter, several MI officials, reporters from various news outfits such as the Wall Street Journal and more. Along with this, interviews set up with Duncan Hunter and Michigan GOP Chair, Saul Anuzis. On Monday and tuesday I should be embedded with the Romney campaign as well. If you are interested in donating to my efforts (it isn't free for me!) you can donate here and send money to jasonpbonham@hotmail.com. I appreciate all those who help last time, I was able to cover almost the whole trip. Thanks! | |||||||||
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